The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Vintage Kiwi Cycling Helmet 500 Grams Yellow Size XL Swiss MadeClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Fishing Telescopic Super Light Hard Rod Carbon Fiber Hand Pole For Carp Fish KitSPRO Dassault 8.000 7+1 BB 5,2 1 Salzwasserfeste SpinrolleGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) ZEBCO 33TC602M MEDIUM 6' CASTING ROD W ZEBCO 33 TACTICAL REEL (O11418-12 JR)since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Pro-Tec Classic Helmet Gloss White XLBern Berkeley Womens Bicycle Helmet Adult Small Fits 21-21 7 8 in White B2
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Crew Polarized Sunglasses BRAND NEW
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
2019 MET Echo MTB Mountain Bike Cycling - New for 2019 Vintage New NOS GT MTB Bicycle orange Cantilever Canti Fork 1 1 8 ThreadedVtg New NOS Suntour Japan AP 1.1 Bicycle Chain Replacement 110 Pins 55 Links
Thunder Snow (20-1):STEARNS Inflatable Fishing Anglers Vest Tan Sz XL (48-50) Full Zip Patches This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Skin Decal for Cornhole Game Board (2xpcs.) Sugar Skull, day of the Dead
- (One Size, Conavy) - adidas Bp Clas Trefoil Bag. Free Shipping
- San Francisco SF Giants Cornhole Bean Corn Toss Bags EMBROIDERED ACA Regulation
- Roxy snowboard new 149 Cm new Torah bright
- 15lb Storm FEVER PITCH Pearl Urethane Bowling Ball For Tough Lane Conditions
- 2019 DeMarini Uprising (-10) Junior Big Barrel Baseball Bat WTDXUPY
- SBART 3mm Neoprene Women's One-Piece Wetsuit Long-sleeved Swimming Snorkeling
- ENGLAND,WEST HAM UNITED LEGEND MARTIN PETERS SIGNED A3 PHOTO MOUNT DISPLAY - COA
- Maillot de football Bayern Munich 2007-2008 N°7 Ribéry
- 1992 ARCTIC CAT 440 PROWLER AIR SILENCER ASSY 0670-141,0670-155,0670-151
- Mycoal hand warmers - 20 pairs
- E-Bike 36V 11.6Ah Vélo Electrique Pedelec Wilier Fantic Velano AVE Pure Cycles
- TA CRITERIUM TYPE 1500 - MANIVELLE GAUCHE 180mm (TRIANGULAIRE) 1960 VINTAGE RARE
- Mavic Open Pro wheel w Dura-Ace FH7700 Hub